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Stadium Background

Cavese vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cavese host Casarano in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cavese at 1.03 goals for, 1.1 against; Casarano at 1.47 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, Cavese have won 2 to Casarano's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward Casarano. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cavese
30%
Draws
29%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Cavese haven't matched Casarano's recent run of results.
  • Cavese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Casarano
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Casarano
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Cavese
3:0
May 21, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Casarano
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Cavese
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Casarano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 59 / 100
Casarano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavese scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Casarano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Cavese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Casarano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
12 Oct
Barletta
1 : 1
Cavese
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

Casarano

(Away)
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)