Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cayman Islands vs Bahamas

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Truman Bodden Stadium, George Town
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kelly J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Cayman Islands in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cayman Islands
15%
Draws
0%
Bahamas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayman Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cayman Islands lately — more wins on the board than Bahamas.
  • Model gives Cayman Islands a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cayman Islands here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 11%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands Bahamas
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs Bahamas
1:0
Sep 2, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Bahamas vs Cayman Islands
3:1
Sep 23, 1999 Friendly International
Cayman Islands vs Bahamas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 83 / 100
Bahamas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands Bahamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahamas conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Bahamas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cayman Islands found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS Bahamas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
13 Nov
Cayman Islands
1 : 2
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 7

Bahamas

(Away)
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
07 Jun
Bahamas
0 : 8
Costa Rica
Page 1 of 6