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Cayman Islands vs Bahamas Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Truman Bodden Stadium, George Town
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kelly J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Cayman Islands in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayman Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cayman Islands
20%
Draws
0%
Bahamas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayman Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cayman Islands lately — more wins on the board than Bahamas.
  • Model gives Cayman Islands a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cayman Islands here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 20%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayman Islands Bahamas
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Cayman Islands vs Bahamas
1:0
Sep 2, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Bahamas vs Cayman Islands
3:1
Sep 23, 1999 Friendly International
Cayman Islands vs Bahamas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayman Islands 85 / 100
Bahamas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayman Islands Bahamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayman Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bahamas conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

Bahamas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cayman Islands found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cayman Islands VS Bahamas
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayman Islands

(Home)
27 Sept
Guyana
2 : 0
Cayman Islands
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
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Bahamas

(Away)
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1
Bahamas
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
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