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Cayon CD vs Barreda Balompie

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Rubio B.
Own Goal
65' Event
Martinez S.
86' Event
Alvarez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Cayon CD and Barreda Balompie finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cayon CD
20%
Draws
23%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of Barreda Balompie on wins alone.
  • Cayon CD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Barreda Balompie
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Cayon CD
2:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Cayon CD
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Barreda Balompie
6:0
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Barreda Balompie
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Barreda Balompie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 85 / 100
Barreda Balompie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Cayon CD scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cayon CD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
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Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)