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Cayon CD vs CD Colindres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Subisaga A.
82' Event
Lazaro B.
89' Event
Pico J.

AI Match Summary

CD Colindres in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Colindres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cayon CD
20%
Draws
23%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Colindres haven't matched Cayon CD's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cayon CD a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cayon CD here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD CD Colindres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.4 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Colindres
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Cayon CD
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Colindres
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Cayon CD
0:2
Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Colindres
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Subisaga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pico J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 95 / 100
CD Colindres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cayon CD scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

CD Colindres has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Cayon CD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS CD Colindres
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
Page 1 of 6

CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)