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Cayon CD vs CD Revilla

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Laredo Abascal J.
90' Event
Tejerina D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Cayon CD and CD Revilla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cayon CD
15%
Draws
37%
CD Revilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cayon CD are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD CD Revilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Revilla
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Cayon CD
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Cayon CD
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Revilla
5:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Cayon CD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Laredo Abascal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tejerina D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Revilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 40 / 100
CD Revilla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD CD Revilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Revilla let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Cayon CD's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cayon CD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS CD Revilla
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
19 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 0
Cayon CD
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

CD Revilla

(Away)
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)