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Cayon CD vs CD Tropezon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Alonso A.
28' Event
Miguelin
54' Event
Cagigas C.

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cayon CD
15%
Draws
46%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Tropezon lately — more wins on the board than Cayon CD.
  • Model gives Cayon CD a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD CD Tropezon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Cayon CD
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Tropezon
3:1
Jun 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Cayon CD
1:2
May 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Tropezon
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Cayon CD
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cagigas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguelin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 50 / 100
CD Tropezon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cayon CD scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cayon CD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CD Tropezon has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS CD Tropezon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
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CD Tropezon

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
06 Jun
CD Laredo
0 : 1
CD Tropezon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)