Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD

2 - 0

SD Noja

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Cagigas C.

38'

Lopez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Cayon CD and SD Noja finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cayon CD

Draws

SD Noja

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of SD Noja on wins alone.
Cayon CD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Cayon CD Clean Sheet 20%

SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cayon CD	SD Noja
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	4
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs SD Noja

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Cayon CD

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Cayon CD

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs SD Noja

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Cayon CD

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Cagigas C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lopez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 85 / 100

SD Noja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cayon CD SD Noja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Noja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cayon CD scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Cayon CD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS SD Noja

1.13 Goals Scored 0.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19