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Cayon CD vs UD Samano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ortiz I.
54' Event
Cagigas C.
88'
Abad A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Cayon CD and UD Samano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cayon CD
30%
Draws
31%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 16%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cayon CD UD Samano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs UD Samano
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs UD Samano
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Cayon CD
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs Cayon CD
0:4
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs UD Samano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Cagigas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 66 / 100
UD Samano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cayon CD UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Samano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cayon CD scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cayon CD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cayon CD VS UD Samano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cayon CD

(Home)
03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1
Cayon CD
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
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UD Samano

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4
UD Samano
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)