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CD Alcala vs Algeciras

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Alcala and Algeciras finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
34%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Algeciras come out ahead of CD Alcala on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeciras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Algeciras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Algeciras
0:3
Sep 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CD Alcala
1:0
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Algeciras
1:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs CD Alcala
4:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Algeciras
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 31 / 100
Algeciras 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Algeciras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Alcala scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Algeciras's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Algeciras conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Algeciras
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 6

Algeciras

(Away)
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
29 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 3
FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)