Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Alcala vs CD Utrera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Alcala in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Alcala
20%
Draws
52%
CD Utrera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Utrera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Utrera lately — more wins on the board than CD Alcala.
  • Win probability leans CD Utrera's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Alcala have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala CD Utrera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Utrera
2:0
Nov 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs CD Alcala
0:1
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
CD Alcala vs CD Utrera
1:3
Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Utrera
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs CD Alcala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 20 / 100
CD Utrera 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala CD Utrera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alcala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CD Utrera conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: CD Alcala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Utrera
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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CD Utrera

(Away)
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2
CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0
Sevilla C
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
CD Utrera
0 : 0
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
12 Apr
Pozoblanco
1 : 1
CD Utrera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)