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CD Alcala vs Chiclana

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2008/2009 game between CD Alcala and Chiclana finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
46%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiclana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiclana haven't matched CD Alcala's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Chiclana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 12
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Chiclana
3:0
Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs CD Alcala
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 32 / 100
Chiclana 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Chiclana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiclana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alcala scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Chiclana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CD Alcala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chiclana
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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Chiclana

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
12 Aug
Barbate
0 : 4
Chiclana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 37 22 8 7 64:38 74
2 Jerez Industrial 37 23 4 10 61:37 73
3 Los Barrios 37 20 7 10 58:39 67
4 CD Alcala 37 18 12 7 47:30 66
5 Sevilla C 37 19 8 10 68:48 65
6 Coria C.F. 37 20 4 13 56:51 64
7 Puerto Real CF 37 18 8 11 56:35 62
8 Mairena 37 14 12 11 49:40 54
9 Ayamonte 37 14 9 14 51:54 51
10 Pozoblanco 37 11 13 13 47:46 46
11 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 37 11 12 14 41:39 45
12 AD Cartaya 37 11 11 15 44:55 44
13 Cadiz B 37 11 11 15 38:49 44
14 UD Los Palacios 37 11 10 16 48:61 43
15 Dos Hermanas 37 9 16 12 32:46 43
16 Sanluqueno 37 9 11 17 29:49 38
17 Cordoba B 37 7 9 21 45:69 30
18 Chiclana 37 6 10 21 47:69 28
19 CD Villanueva 19 7 5 7 26:20 26
20 Antoniano 37 5 10 22 29:61 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)