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CD Alcala vs Los Barrios

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Alcala and Los Barrios finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
12%
Los Barrios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Los Barrios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Alcala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Los Barrios Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Los Barrios
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.88 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Los Barrios vs CD Alcala
2:1
Sep 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Los Barrios
2:2
Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Los Barrios
3:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Los Barrios vs CD Alcala
0:1
Apr 29, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Los Barrios vs CD Alcala
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 85 / 100
Los Barrios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Los Barrios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Barrios has conceded goals in 85% of their last 41 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Alcala scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Los Barrios's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Los Barrios
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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Los Barrios

(Away)
05 Aug
Los Barrios
0 : 1
Algeciras
24 Apr
Antoniano
3 : 0
Los Barrios
14 Apr
Los Barrios
1 : 1
CD Rota
09 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0
Los Barrios
03 Apr
Los Barrios
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)