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CD Alcala vs Mairena

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 game between CD Alcala and Mairena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
51%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / High Confidence
  • CD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mairena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 16%
Mairena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Mairena
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Mairena
1:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs CD Alcala
1:1
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Mairena
0:1
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs CD Alcala
1:1
Jan 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs CD Alcala
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 23 / 100
Mairena 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Alcala scored in 65% of their last 37 outings.

Mairena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: CD Alcala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 8

Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)