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CD Algar vs Muleno CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Saldana W.
40' Event
Esquinas Herrera A.

AI Match Summary

Muleno CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muleno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CD Algar
35%
Draws
56%
Muleno CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muleno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Muleno CF at 1.06 per game, CD Algar at 0.83.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 19%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Muleno CF
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Muleno CF
0:2
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs CD Algar
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs CD Algar
3:0
Dec 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Muleno CF
1:0
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs CD Algar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Saldana W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esquinas Herrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 32 / 100
Muleno CF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Muleno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muleno CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muleno CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Algar scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: CD Algar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Muleno CF
0.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
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Muleno CF

(Away)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)