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CD Algar vs San Javier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Algar host San Javier in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. CD Algar have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against San Javier's 1.6 scored and 1 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.85) point toward San Javier. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
CD Algar
20%
Draws
63%
San Javier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Javier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Algar lately — more wins on the board than San Javier.
  • Model gives San Javier a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 10%
San Javier Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar San Javier
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 0
Goals Scored 0.9 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 10 / 100
San Javier 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar San Javier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Javier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Javier has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.

CD Algar's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Algar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS San Javier
1 Goals Scored 1.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
04 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 2
CD Algar
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 6

San Javier

(Away)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)