Sport Picks
CD Alhaurino vs Atletico de Porcuna
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
68'
68'
Oliva S. T.
80'
80'
Jarauta A.
88'
88'
Atsu B.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between CD Alhaurino and Atletico de Porcuna finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alhaurino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Alhaurino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atletico de Porcuna carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CD Alhaurino's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alhaurino | Atletico de Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs CD Alhaurino
3:4
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:3
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs CD Alhaurino
2:0
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs CD Alhaurino
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Alhaurino Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliva S. T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jarauta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alhaurino 86 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alhaurino Atletico de Porcuna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
CD Alhaurino scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Atletico de Porcuna conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: CD Alhaurino remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Alhaurino VS Atletico de Porcuna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alhaurino
(Home) 10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1 CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 7
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
15 Mar
CD Alhaurino
0 : 1 Motril
Page 1 of 4
Atletico de Porcuna
(Away) 10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
29 Mar
Granada CF B
3 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
15 Mar
Huetor Tajar
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
