Sport Picks
CD Alhaurino vs Churriana de la Vega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
26'
26'
Garcia R.
42'
42'
Martinez A. M.
Penalty Missed
85'
85'
Sako S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between CD Alhaurino and Churriana de la Vega finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alhaurino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alhaurino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Churriana de la Vega haven't matched CD Alhaurino's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on CD Alhaurino taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and CD Alhaurino have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 20%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alhaurino | Churriana de la Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Churriana de la Vega
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Churriana de la Vega
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs CD Alhaurino
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Alhaurino Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sako S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Churriana de la Vega Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alhaurino 36 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alhaurino Churriana de la Vega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Alhaurino scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Churriana de la Vega let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Difficult form: Churriana de la Vega registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Alhaurino VS Churriana de la Vega
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alhaurino
(Home) 10 Oct
Marbelli
0 : 2 CD Alhaurino
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2 Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2 Melilla
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 3
Churriana de la Vega
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3 UD San Pedro
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | CD Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
