Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Alhaurino vs El Palo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Alhaurino play El Palo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Alhaurino averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. El Palo averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, CD Alhaurino won 1, El Palo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for CD Alhaurino and 0.81 for El Palo. This points to a CD Alhaurino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Alhaurino
23%
Draws
30%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • CD Alhaurino picked up more points recently compared to El Palo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 26%
El Palo Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino El Palo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs El Palo
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs El Palo
1:2
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs El Palo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Alhaurino Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarauta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igbinosun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

El Palo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 48 / 100
El Palo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino El Palo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Alhaurino or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Alhaurino attacking → ← attacking El Palo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

El Palo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CD Alhaurino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

El Palo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 24
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327