Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Villena Perez I.
60'
60'
Torres L.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between CD Alhaurino and Mancha finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Alhaurino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Alhaurino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives CD Alhaurino a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alhaurino | Mancha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:4
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Mancha
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Alhaurino
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Alhaurino Compare
Top Goalscorer Villena Perez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Mancha Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alhaurino 67 / 100
Mancha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alhaurino Mancha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CD Alhaurino scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Mancha has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: CD Alhaurino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Alhaurino VS Mancha
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alhaurino
(Home) 06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1 CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0 Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
Page 1 of 3
Mancha
(Away) 05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1 Mancha
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2 Mancha
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Mancha
01 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 0 Mancha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
