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CD Alquerias vs Lorca Deportiva II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between CD Alquerias and Lorca Deportiva II finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Alquerias
30%
Draws
39%
Lorca Deportiva II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lorca Deportiva II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Alquerias Clean Sheet 14%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alquerias Lorca Deportiva II
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Alquerias vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:2
Nov 4, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs CD Alquerias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alquerias 35 / 100
Lorca Deportiva II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alquerias Lorca Deportiva II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca Deportiva II let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Alquerias's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Alquerias stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lorca Deportiva II
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alquerias

(Home)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
10 May
Ciudad Cieza
5 : 2
CD Alquerias
04 May
CD Alquerias
1 : 3
Sangonera
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 0
CD Alquerias
20 Apr
CD Alquerias
1 : 2
Yeclano
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Lorca Deportiva II

(Away)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)