Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Aluvion vs CD River Ega

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD River Ega in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD River Ega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CD Aluvion
20%
Draws
70%
CD River Ega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD River Ega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • CD River Ega have won more games recently than CD Aluvion.
  • CD River Ega are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 19%
CD River Ega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aluvion CD River Ega
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.83 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs CD River Ega
0:2
Sep 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD River Ega vs CD Aluvion
2:1
Feb 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD River Ega vs CD Aluvion
2:2
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs CD River Ega
2:1
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs CD River Ega
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aluvion 10 / 100
CD River Ega 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aluvion CD River Ega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD River Ega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD River Ega has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CD Aluvion scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

CD Aluvion has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD River Ega
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aluvion

(Home)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

CD River Ega

(Away)
26 Jun
CD Baztan
1 : 1
CD River Ega
19 Jun
CD River Ega
6 : 0
CD Fontellas
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
05 Jun
CD River Ega
2 : 3
Bidezarra
29 May
Pena Azagresa
2 : 0
CD River Ega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)