Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Ardoi vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Gimenez R.
73' Event
Olcoz M.
90' Event
Gines J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between CD Ardoi and Subiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ardoi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Ardoi
30%
Draws
31%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Ardoi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiza come out ahead of CD Ardoi on wins alone.
  • CD Ardoi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Subiza here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 13%
Subiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ardoi Subiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Subiza
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Ardoi
3:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Subiza
0:3
Jan 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Ardoi
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Ardoi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Ardoi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olcoz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Gines J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ardoi 40 / 100
Subiza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ardoi Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ardoi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Ardoi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Subiza registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Ardoi VS Subiza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ardoi

(Home)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 6

Subiza

(Away)
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)