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CD Arganda vs Santa Ana

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Arganda play Santa Ana in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Arganda averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Santa Ana averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, CD Arganda won 0, Santa Ana won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for CD Arganda and 0.93 for Santa Ana. This points to a CD Arganda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Arganda
23%
Draws
34%
Santa Ana
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: CD Arganda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Arganda picked up more points recently compared to Santa Ana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CD Arganda Clean Sheet 24%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Arganda Santa Ana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Arganda vs Santa Ana
0:2
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Santa Ana vs CD Arganda
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Arganda 44 / 100
Santa Ana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Arganda Santa Ana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Arganda or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Arganda attacking → ← attacking Santa Ana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Arganda scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Santa Ana let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Arganda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Ana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 19
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rayo Vallecano B382510368:2385
2Parla382111665:3374
3Getafe B382010877:4170
4Trival Valderas382161177:4569
5CF Fuenlabrada382081052:3368
6Real Madrid C3818101059:4364
7Navalcarnero381761549:4857
8CD Mostoles3815111252:4256
9Rayo Majadahonda381661646:4754
10AD Colmenar381651753:5453
11Atl. Madrid C3814101455:5152
12San Fernando de Henares381481642:5850
13San Sebastian Reyes381481657:5750
14Atletico Pinto3812111543:6247
15Vallecas CF3812101646:5146
16Mexico3810131546:5343
17CD Arganda389121740:6139
18Santa Ana38862438:7330
19CD Ciempozuelos38662636:8024
20Galactico Pegaso38652727:7323