Sport Picks
CD Ariznabarra vs San Ignacio
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
CD Ariznabarra in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ariznabarra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Ignacio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- San Ignacio have won more games recently than CD Ariznabarra.
- San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 21%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Ariznabarra | San Ignacio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 44 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs San Ignacio
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs CD Ariznabarra
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs San Ignacio
1:5
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs CD Ariznabarra
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Ariznabarra 24 / 100
San Ignacio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Ariznabarra San Ignacio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
San Ignacio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 44 matches.
CD Ariznabarra found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: CD Ariznabarra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS San Ignacio
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Ariznabarra
(Home) 12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3 Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1 CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1 Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0 CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3 Balmaseda
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1 Urgatzi
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
02 May
CD Ariznabarra
4 : 2 Somorrostro
18 Apr
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2 Tolosa
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San Ignacio
(Away) 19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3 Leioa
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 9
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 San Ignacio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3 San Ignacio
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4 San Ignacio
20 Aug
Amurrio Club
0 : 3 San Ignacio
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4 San Ignacio
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gernika Club | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad C | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 48:27 | 40 |
| 3 | Sestao | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:13 | 39 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Santutxu FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Beasain | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Tolosa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | 24 |
| 8 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:31 | 20 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 22:27 | 18 |
| 10 | Somorrostro | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | 17 |
| 11 | Urgatzi | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Urduliz FT | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 34 |
| 4 | Basconia | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Anaitasuna FT | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 30 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santurtzi | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 10 | CD Ariznabarra | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 12:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17:31 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
