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CD AS Pontes vs UD Ourense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between CD AS Pontes and UD Ourense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD AS Pontes
35%
Draws
16%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Ourense come out ahead of CD AS Pontes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD AS Pontes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 19%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes UD Ourense
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 19
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs UD Ourense
1:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD AS Pontes
1:0
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD AS Pontes
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs UD Ourense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 85 / 100
UD Ourense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 41 matches.

CD AS Pontes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UD Ourense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

CD AS Pontes scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Ourense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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UD Ourense

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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