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CD Azuaga vs Montehermoso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Marquez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between CD Azuaga and Montehermoso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CD Azuaga
6%
Draws
4%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Azuaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Montehermoso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montehermoso
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Azuaga
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montehermoso
0:0
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Montehermoso
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Montehermoso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
Montehermoso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Montehermoso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Azuaga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS Montehermoso
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0
CD Azuaga
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)