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CD Baza vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between CD Baza and Huetor Tajar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Baza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CD Baza
20%
Draws
38%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Baza's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Baza have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baza Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs CD Baza
1:1
Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Huetor Tajar
3:0
Dec 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs CD Baza
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 42 / 100
Huetor Tajar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baza Huetor Tajar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

CD Baza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Huetor Tajar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mancha36208853:2668
2Motril361812654:2466
3El Palo361961159:4463
4Almeria B361710962:3761
5CD Ronda361791064:5160
6Malaga B361611956:4459
7Comarca361761352:3457
8Ciudad de Vicar361314952:4853
9Loja3613101342:4049
10Antequera3611141143:3847
11Velez361451750:5247
12CD Alhaurino361291553:5445
13Adra361291547:5945
14Santa Fe361181740:5541
15UD Carboneras361081843:6338
16Huetor Tajar361152044:6738
17CD Baza369101736:5437
18Arenas Armilla36981933:6335
19Ejido 21973921:2224
20Vera CD19171117:4610