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Stadium Background

CD Baza vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between CD Baza and Marbella finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Baza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Baza
15%
Draws
20%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Marbella's 1 goals per match outpaces what CD Baza have produced (0.83).
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on CD Baza taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 20%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Baza Marbella
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Marbella
2:0
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs CD Baza
2:0
May 11, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs CD Baza
2:1
Dec 22, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Baza vs Marbella
0:0
Apr 7, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Marbella vs CD Baza
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 58 / 100
Marbella 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Baza Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Baza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Marbella has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Baza

(Home)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
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Marbella

(Away)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)