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CD Boiro vs Celtiga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Del Rio N.
54' Event
Romero Figueira M.
83'
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between CD Boiro and Celtiga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Boiro
20%
Draws
7%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Boiro come out ahead of Celtiga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Boiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Celtiga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
0:2
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Celtiga
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
0:3
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs CD Boiro
2:0
Oct 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Celtiga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero Figueira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Rio N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 95 / 100
Celtiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Boiro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Celtiga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Boiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Celtiga
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)