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CD Calamonte vs Fuente de Cantos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Rivero D.
25' Event
Calvo J.
45' Event
Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between CD Calamonte and Fuente de Cantos finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Calamonte
35%
Draws
49%
Fuente de Cantos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fuente de Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Calamonte come out ahead of Fuente de Cantos on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 20%
Fuente de Cantos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte Fuente de Cantos
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 15 10
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.92 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Fuente de Cantos
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs CD Calamonte
2:2
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs CD Calamonte
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Fuente de Cantos
1:1
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Fuente de Cantos vs CD Calamonte
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Fuente de Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 36 / 100
Fuente de Cantos 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte Fuente de Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fuente de Cantos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fuente de Cantos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Calamonte found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (38 games).

Solid form: CD Calamonte remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 8

Fuente de Cantos

(Away)
14 Aug
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 5
AD Llerenense
12 May
Fuente de Cantos
3 : 3
Jaraiz
05 May
CF Trujillo
1 : 0
Fuente de Cantos
27 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
0 : 0
CD Coria
21 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 2
Fuente de Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)