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CD Calamonte vs Montijo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
CD Calamonte Logo

CD Calamonte

2 - 3
FT
Montijo Logo

Montijo

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Volo L.
72' Event
Touray M.
73' Event
Peralta C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montijo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Calamonte
15%
Draws
73%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montijo lately — more wins on the board than CD Calamonte.
  • Model gives Montijo a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte Montijo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Calamonte
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Calamonte
1:3
Aug 24, 2023 Club Friendly
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorita M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Volo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 27 / 100
Montijo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montijo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Montijo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Calamonte scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS Montijo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
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Montijo

(Away)
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)