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CD Calamonte vs Montijo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Volo L.
72' Event
Touray M.
73' Event
Peralta C.

AI Match Summary

Montijo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
CD Calamonte
17%
Draws
70%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Montijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montijo lately — more wins on the board than CD Calamonte.
  • Model gives Montijo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 16%
Montijo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte Montijo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Calamonte
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs CD Calamonte
1:3
Aug 24, 2023 Club Friendly
CD Calamonte vs Montijo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Touray M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorita M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Montijo Compare

Top Goalscorer Volo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 15 / 100
Montijo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Montijo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

CD Calamonte scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Calamonte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS Montijo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
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Montijo

(Away)
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1
Santa Amalia
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Montijo
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)