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CD Caspe vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Rudio A.
Own Goal
85' Event
Rotellar F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Caspe
15%
Draws
39%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Caspe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Caspe have won more games recently than Binefar.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CD Caspe taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 68%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Caspe Binefar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Binefar
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CD Caspe
0:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Binefar
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs CD Caspe
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Binefar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Caspe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotellar F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Binefar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Caspe 77 / 100
Binefar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Caspe Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Caspe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Caspe scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Binefar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Caspe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Caspe VS Binefar
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Caspe

(Home)
13 Sept
Huesca B
1 : 0
CD Caspe
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 7

Binefar

(Away)
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)