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CD Castro vs Alondras

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD Castro and Alondras finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Castro
15%
Draws
73%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Alondras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 18%
Alondras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Alondras
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Alondras
5:0
Aug 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Castro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 32 / 100
Alondras 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Castro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Alondras conceded in 73% of 40 recent games.

Difficult form: Alondras registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alondras
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Alondras

(Away)
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
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