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CD Cebrerena vs Almazan

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between CD Cebrerena and Almazan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Cebrerena
20%
Draws
23%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almazan come out ahead of CD Cebrerena on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 18%
Almazan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cebrerena Almazan
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Almazan
0:1
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs CD Cebrerena
1:2
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Almazan
3:0
Dec 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs CD Cebrerena
1:0
Apr 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs CD Cebrerena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cebrerena 32 / 100
Almazan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cebrerena Almazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almazan let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Cebrerena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Almazan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almazan
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cebrerena

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
Page 1 of 6

Almazan

(Away)
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0
Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0
Almazan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)