Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
CD Cebrerena in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cebrerena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cebrerena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Cebrerena haven't matched Arandina's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CD Cebrerena's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 68%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Cebrerena | Arandina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Arandina
3:2
Dec 27, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Cebrerena
2:1
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Arandina
1:1
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Cebrerena
7:0
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Cebrerena
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Cebrerena 50 / 100
Arandina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Cebrerena Arandina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Arandina conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.
Recent resilience: CD Cebrerena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
CD Cebrerena scored in 55% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Cebrerena
(Home) 20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1 CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1 CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1 Salamanca CF UDS B
Page 1 of 7
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1 Salamanca CF UDS B
09 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
25 Apr
CD Cebrerena
1 : 1 Becerril
11 Apr
CD Cebrerena
3 : 0 La Baneza
Page 1 of 3
Arandina
(Away) 26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
04 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 1 Arandina
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palencia CA | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 29:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Atletico Astorga | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 26:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:18 | 35 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Atletico Tordesillas | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 7 | La Baneza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Penaranda de Bracamonte | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Becerril | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 54:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Burgos CF B | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Numancia B | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Arandina | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 30:21 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Almazan | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Colegios Diocesanos | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 19:42 | 23 |
| 9 | La Granja | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Burgos CF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 11 | CD Cebrerena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 12 | Bupolsa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:35 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
