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CD Cebrerena vs Penaranda de Bracamonte

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between CD Cebrerena and Penaranda de Bracamonte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Cebrerena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Cebrerena
20%
Draws
33%
Penaranda de Bracamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Penaranda de Bracamonte haven't matched CD Cebrerena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Cebrerena's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 68%
Penaranda de Bracamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cebrerena Penaranda de Bracamonte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Penaranda de Bracamonte
2:0
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Penaranda de Bracamonte vs CD Cebrerena
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cebrerena 68 / 100
Penaranda de Bracamonte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cebrerena Penaranda de Bracamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Penaranda de Bracamonte let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

CD Cebrerena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Cebrerena scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Cebrerena VS Penaranda de Bracamonte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cebrerena

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
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Penaranda de Bracamonte

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
30 May
Almazan
4 : 2
Penaranda de Bracamonte
22 May
Penaranda de Bracamonte
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
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