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CD Choco vs Deportivo Fabril Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 game between CD Choco and Deportivo Fabril finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
20%
Draws
80%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Fabril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Fabril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Fabril have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 15%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 5 21
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 1.09 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs CD Choco
3:1
Mar 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
0:3
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs CD Choco
1:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Deportivo Fabril
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 10 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Deportivo Fabril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Choco scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Deportivo Fabril has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Deportivo Fabril has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Fabril
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Fabril

(Away)
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)