Sport Picks
CD Choloma vs Motagua
Honduras
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between CD Choloma and Motagua finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motagua.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motagua carry the better recent record into this one.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Motagua here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Choloma | Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Choloma Compare
Motagua Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: CD Choloma scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Motagua let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
CD Choloma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CD Choloma
(Home)Motagua
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis FC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | 16 |
