Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choloma vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma host Olimpia in the Liga Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: CD Choloma at 1.04 goals for, 1.43 against; Olimpia at 2.1 for, 0.84 against. Head-to-head, CD Choloma have won 0 to Olimpia's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.38, favoring Olimpia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Choloma
15%
Draws
54%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia come out ahead of CD Choloma on wins alone.
  • Olimpia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 17%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Olimpia
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.04 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Olimpia
1:3
Feb 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs CD Choloma
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs CD Choloma
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Olimpia
2:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 10 / 100
Olimpia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Choloma found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

CD Choloma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Olimpia conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Olimpia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
2 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
3 Marathon 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
4 Motagua 9 5 1 3 13:9 16
5 Genesis FC 9 3 2 4 10:7 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 9 2 1 6 7:10 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)