Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010

CF Fuenlabrada

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Ciempozuelos play CF Fuenlabrada in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. CF Fuenlabrada are favorites here. Recently, CD Ciempozuelos averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. CF Fuenlabrada averaged 1 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, CD Ciempozuelos won 0, CF Fuenlabrada won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2010 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for CD Ciempozuelos and 0.86 for CF Fuenlabrada. This points to a CF Fuenlabrada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

CD Ciempozuelos

18%

Draws

65%

CF Fuenlabrada

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: CF Fuenlabrada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

CD Ciempozuelos picked up more points recently compared to CF Fuenlabrada.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

CD Ciempozuelos Clean Sheet 25%

CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Ciempozuelos	CF Fuenlabrada
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	3	11
Draws	6	10
Losses	21	12
Goals Scored	0.83	1
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Ciempozuelos

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Ciempozuelos vs CF Fuenlabrada

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Ciempozuelos vs CF Fuenlabrada

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Ciempozuelos

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ciempozuelos 20 / 100

CF Fuenlabrada 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Ciempozuelos CF Fuenlabrada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Fuenlabrada Win (2)

Secondary Pick CF Fuenlabrada & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Ciempozuelos attacking → ← attacking CF Fuenlabrada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ciempozuelos scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

CF Fuenlabrada let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

CD Ciempozuelos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CF Fuenlabrada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano B	38	25	10	3	68:23	85
2	Parla	38	21	11	6	65:33	74
3	Getafe B	38	20	10	8	77:41	70
4	Trival Valderas	38	21	6	11	77:45	69
5	CF Fuenlabrada	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Real Madrid C	38	18	10	10	59:43	64
7	Navalcarnero	38	17	6	15	49:48	57
8	CD Mostoles	38	15	11	12	52:42	56
9	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	6	16	46:47	54
10	AD Colmenar	38	16	5	17	53:54	53
11	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	10	14	55:51	52
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	14	8	16	42:58	50
13	San Sebastian Reyes	38	14	8	16	57:57	50
14	Atletico Pinto	38	12	11	15	43:62	47
15	Vallecas CF	38	12	10	16	46:51	46
16	Mexico	38	10	13	15	46:53	43
17	CD Arganda	38	9	12	17	40:61	39
18	Santa Ana	38	8	6	24	38:73	30
19	CD Ciempozuelos	38	6	6	26	36:80	24
20	Galactico Pegaso	38	6	5	27	27:73	23