Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Subisaga A.
76'
76'
Arriaga M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CD Colindres and Selaya finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Selaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Selaya have managed 0.76 goals a game lately — CD Colindres are scoring more at 0.8.
- Win probability leans CD Colindres's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%
Selaya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Colindres | Selaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Selaya
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs CD Colindres
2:2
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs CD Colindres
2:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Selaya
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Selaya
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Colindres Compare
Top Goalscorer Subisaga A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Selaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Arriaga M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Colindres 50 / 100
Selaya 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Colindres Selaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Selaya has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
CD Colindres scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: CD Colindres stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Colindres VS Selaya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Colindres
(Home) 09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3 Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3 Bezana
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
02 Apr
CD Colindres
1 : 0 Castro
22 Mar
CD Colindres
2 : 0 CD Montanas del Pas
07 Mar
CD Colindres
0 : 0 Vimenor
Page 1 of 3
Selaya
(Away) 12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0 Castro
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3 Cayon CD
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4 Selaya
03 May
Selaya
1 : 1 CD Laredo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Selaya
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4 Selaya
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2 Selaya
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2 Selaya
29 Mar
Castro
3 : 1 Selaya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
