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CD Colunga vs Caudal Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
CD Colunga Logo

CD Colunga

0 - 1
FT
Caudal Deportivo Logo

Caudal Deportivo

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Carcaba J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between CD Colunga and Caudal Deportivo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Colunga
15%
Draws
51%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caudal Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caudal Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caudal Deportivo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caudal Deportivo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 12%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Caudal Deportivo
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs CD Colunga
2:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Caudal Deportivo
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs CD Colunga
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs CD Colunga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carcaba J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 14 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caudal Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Colunga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Caudal Deportivo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Colunga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS Caudal Deportivo
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 6

Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
09 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
19 Aug
Real Oviedo B
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)