Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Colunga vs Covadonga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rodriguez M.
25' Event
Cid C.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Alvarez V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between CD Colunga and Covadonga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Covadonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CD Colunga
30%
Draws
43%
Covadonga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Covadonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Covadonga come out ahead of CD Colunga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Covadonga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Covadonga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 15%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga Covadonga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Covadonga
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Colunga
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Covadonga
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Covadonga
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Covadonga vs CD Colunga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Covadonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 15 / 100
Covadonga 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga Covadonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Covadonga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Colunga scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Colunga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Covadonga let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS Covadonga
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
10 Oct
CD Colunga
5 : 5
Praviano
03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0
CD Colunga
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Covadonga
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
Page 1 of 6

Covadonga

(Away)
04 Oct
Covadonga
2 : 1
Club Siero
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Covadonga
20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2
Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0
Aviles Stadium
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 6 3 3 0 10:3 12
4 Club Siero 6 4 0 2 9:3 12
5 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
6 CD Colunga 6 3 2 1 14:12 11
7 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
8 Lealtad 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
9 Langreo 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
11 Praviano 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
12 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
13 Union Club Ceares 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
14 L Entregu CF 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)