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CD Coria vs UD Badajoz

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between CD Coria and UD Badajoz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Coria
30%
Draws
47%
UD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Coria haven't matched UD Badajoz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UD Badajoz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Badajoz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 20%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Coria UD Badajoz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.65 2
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs CD Coria
0:0
Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs UD Badajoz
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs UD Badajoz
0:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs CD Coria
3:1
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs CD Coria
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Coria 10 / 100
UD Badajoz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Coria UD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Coria scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

CD Coria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UD Badajoz let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Coria VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Coria

(Home)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

UD Badajoz

(Away)
25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2
UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0
Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
UD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)