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CD Cuenca Juniors vs EL Nacional Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Valencia K.
31' Event
Valencia K.
38' Event
Uchuari J.

AI Match Summary

CD Cuenca Juniors in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cuenca Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Cuenca Juniors
15%
Draws
42%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Cuenca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Cuenca Juniors lately — more wins on the board than EL Nacional.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cuenca Juniors EL Nacional
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs EL Nacional
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs CD Cuenca Juniors
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cuenca Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uchuari J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

EL Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayorga J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cuenca Juniors 32 / 100
EL Nacional 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cuenca Juniors EL Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EL Nacional has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: EL Nacional registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Cuenca Juniors scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cuenca Juniors VS EL Nacional
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cuenca Juniors

(Home)
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
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EL Nacional

(Away)
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
05 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)