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CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zambrano E.
90' Event
Moreira L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Cuenca Juniors
15%
Draws
59%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueve de Octubre lately — more wins on the board than CD Cuenca Juniors.
  • Nueve de Octubre are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 19%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cuenca Juniors Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
1:1
May 30, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs CD Cuenca Juniors
3:3
Mar 27, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Ecuador
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Nueve de Octubre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cuenca Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cuenca Juniors 12 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cuenca Juniors Nueve de Octubre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Cuenca Juniors scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Nueve de Octubre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

CD Cuenca Juniors went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cuenca Juniors VS Nueve de Octubre
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cuenca Juniors

(Home)
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
16 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
04 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
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Nueve de Octubre

(Away)
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 28 12 13 3 34:18 49
2 Vinotinto 28 13 8 7 36:21 47
3 Independiente Juniors 28 12 11 5 35:23 47
4 Nueve de Octubre 28 11 12 5 31:20 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 28 10 8 10 22:31 38
6 San Antonio 28 7 12 9 26:32 33
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