Sport Picks
CD Diocesano vs Montehermoso
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Diocesano and Montehermoso finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Diocesano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Diocesano's 0.87 goals per match outpaces what Montehermoso have produced (0.77).
- Model gives CD Diocesano a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 68%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Diocesano | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Montehermoso
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Diocesano
1:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Diocesano
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Montehermoso
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Diocesano 59 / 100
Montehermoso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Diocesano Montehermoso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Diocesano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Montehermoso conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
CD Diocesano found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: CD Diocesano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Diocesano VS Montehermoso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Diocesano
(Home) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
Page 1 of 6
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
29 Mar
CD Diocesano
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
15 Mar
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 3
Montehermoso
(Away) 10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1 Montehermoso
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0 Montehermoso
28 Mar
Montijo
4 : 0 Montehermoso
15 Mar
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
