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CD Estepona vs Ciudad de Lucena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Estepona host Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4. This one's hard to separate. Ciudad de Lucena have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while CD Estepona have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.52. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Ciudad de Lucena to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Estepona
15%
Draws
46%
Ciudad de Lucena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad de Lucena lately — more wins on the board than CD Estepona.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 14%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Estepona Ciudad de Lucena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.52 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Estepona 35 / 100
Ciudad de Lucena 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Estepona Ciudad de Lucena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

CD Estepona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ciudad de Lucena has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Ciudad de Lucena registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Estepona VS Ciudad de Lucena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Estepona

(Home)
18 Oct
Marbella
0 : 0
CD Estepona
11 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 2
Atletico Central
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad de Lucena

(Away)
18 Oct
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
11 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
4 : 2
Don Benito
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 7 4 2 1 11:4 14
2 Recreativo Huelva 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
3 Ciudad de Lucena 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
4 CD Badajoz 7 4 2 1 8:5 14
5 Don Benito 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
6 Mijas Las Lagunas 7 3 3 1 16:12 12
7 CD Estepona 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
8 Linares 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
9 Puente Genil 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
10 Tenerife B 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
11 Sevilla B 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
12 Sanluqueno 7 1 4 2 10:11 7
13 Xerez CD 7 1 3 3 4:6 6
14 Marbella 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
15 Atletico Central 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
16 Tamaraceite 7 2 0 5 7:14 6
17 Las Palmas B 7 1 2 4 3:11 5
18 Antoniano 7 0 3 4 6:12 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)