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CD Extremadura vs Castuera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Villajos M.
71' Event
Villajos M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CD Extremadura and Castuera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Extremadura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Extremadura
15%
Draws
51%
Castuera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castuera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Extremadura come out ahead of Castuera on wins alone.
  • Castuera are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 19%
Castuera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Extremadura Castuera
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Extremadura vs Castuera
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CD Extremadura
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Extremadura Compare

Top Goalscorer Villajos M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Castuera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Extremadura 28 / 100
Castuera 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Extremadura Castuera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castuera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Extremadura's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Castuera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: CD Extremadura remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Extremadura VS Castuera
2.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Extremadura

(Home)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 7

Castuera

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0
Castuera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)