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Stadium Background

CD Ferrerias vs Mercadal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mercadal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mercadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CD Ferrerias
20%
Draws
70%
Mercadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mercadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Mercadal have won more games recently than CD Ferrerias.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 20%
Mercadal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ferrerias Mercadal
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 4 20
Draws 6 8
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Mercadal
0:1
Dec 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Ferrerias
1:0
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Mercadal
0:2
Dec 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Ferrerias
1:2
May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mercadal vs CD Ferrerias
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ferrerias 32 / 100
Mercadal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ferrerias Mercadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mercadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CD Ferrerias's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Mercadal has conceded goals in 57% of their last 42 outings.

CD Ferrerias went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mercadal
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ferrerias

(Home)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 7

Mercadal

(Away)
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)